According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, commercial and multifamily mortgage originations in the U.S. will be down slightly in 2017, ending the year at $478 billion, a decrease of 3 percent from the 2016 volumes. Mortgage banker originations of just multifamily mortgages are forecast at $206 billion in 2017, with total multifamily lending at $245 billion.
"Commercial and multifamily market activity has downshifted at the start of 2017," said Jamie Woodwell, MBA's Vice President of Commercial Real Estate Research. "Markets continue to move forward, but the rapid increases in property values, transaction volumes and other fundamentals that characterized the post-recession period have given way to more regular changes tied to the economy as well as changes in supply and demand. For many parts of the market, the downshift is a positive development."
Commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding is expected to continue to grow in 2017, ending the year roughly two percent higher than at the end of 2016.
The U.S. delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.88 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the third quarter of 2017.
The National Association of Home Builders is reporting this week that U.S. home builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes fell three points to a level of 64 in September 2017.
52 percent of residential and commercial properties in the Houston metro are at "High" or "Moderate" risk of flooding, but are not in a Special Flood Hazard Area (SFHA) as identified by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).