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Northern European and Dublin's RevPAR Continue to Decline

Vacation News » Vacation & Leisure Real Estate Edition | By Michael Gerrity | May 14, 2009 10:17 AM ET



(News Source: Smith Travel Research)

(LONDON, U.K.) -- The European hotel industry reported expectedly poor year-to-date results for March 2009, according to data compiled by STR Global.

"European RevPAR fell 14 percent year-on-year, split between declines in both average daily rate (ADR) and occupancy", said James Chappell, managing director of STR Global.

Northern Europe* fared better than Southern or Eastern Europe with only a 14.3-percent decrease in RevPAR, driven by falling rates.

Dublin's RevPAR dropped 27.2 percent due to a fall in occupancy of 12.4 percent and ADR, which declined by 17 percent.




"What shouldn't be forgotten is that the first eight months of 2008 were very strong, so year-on-year comparisons are by definition exaggerated. The reverse may well be true towards the end of the year, and comparative results may start to stabilize from September onwards", pointed out Chappell.




As expected the fall in occupancy in the early part of the year has been followed more recently by a decline in rate as hoteliers attempt to stimulate demand. Rates in Dublin fell consistently in the six weeks leading up to 11 April 2009.  Occupancy held up more steadily and the average occupancy of 57 percent over the same period is an improvement on earlier in the year.



The latest monthly Hotel Market Forecast report from STR Global which predicts market conditions based on the most recent available economic and hotel performance data together with advanced modeling of over 300 economic indicators, expects that Dublin's RevPAR decline for 2009 to be in the -5 percent to -8 percent range, with falling occupancy continuing to be the main culprit.

* Northern Europe is defined as Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Iceland, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, Norway, Sweden and United Kingdom.




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