London's Super-Prime Property Activity Hits 6-Year High in Mid 2022

London's Super-Prime Property Activity Hits 6-Year High in Mid 2022

Residential News » London Edition | By Michael Gerrity | September 8, 2022 8:15 AM ET

Reasons include a weak pound and appeal of real estate as an inflation hedge

According to Knight Frank's Tom Bill, Head of UK Residential Research, the number of sales in May 2022 was the sixth highest total in ten years in London and the number of offers accepted was the highest in a decade.

The same is true at the very top of the market, where there are even more reasons for buyers and sellers to act now.

There were 155 transactions above £10 million in London in the year to April 2022, whole-market data shows. That was an increase of 19% on the previous 12-month period and the highest total since 2015 and 2016. The figure could rise as the Land Registry updates.

One reason is the weakness of the pound, which has come under pressure recently due to trade tensions between the UK and EU and the Bank of England's dove-ish response to the prospect of double-digit inflation.

"Super-prime demand has been supported by the relaxation of travel restrictions and continued downwards pressure on the pound," said Paddy Dring, global head of prime sales at Knight Frank. "Dollar-based and dollar-pegged buyers have been in a particularly strong position recently. The mix of nationalities remains as varied as it was before Covid, with buyers from the UK, Middle East, China, India and Europe."

While demand from international buyers has grown it is not yet back to pre-Covid levels. As it continues to build, we expect prices in prime central London to strengthen and outperform other UK property markets.

The number of transactions above £20 million was particularly strong in the 12 months to April. There were 46 sales, a number that has only been exceeded once in the last decade (2014/15).

Global economic uncertainty is another factor driving demand higher for super-prime London property.

"Central banks are performing a tricky balancing act and the ensuing volatility in financial markets makes real estate look attractive by comparison," said Rory Penn, head of Knight Frank's Private Office. "Property's reputation as an inflation-hedge gives it extra appeal, while the prospect of rising borrowing costs is injecting a degree of urgency into the market across all price points."

Average prices in prime central London rose 2.4% in the year to May as the market continues its steady recovery from a six-year period of political uncertainty and tax changes. The increase above £10 million was 3.6% over the same period.


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