Construction Continues in Most Major U.S. Markets Despite COVID-19 Outbreak
Global real estate consultant CBRE is reporting this week that despite economic disruptions caused by COVID-19, industrial construction is continuing in the majority of major U.S. markets.
CBRE's analysis found that construction has been deemed "essential" in 16 of the top 20 markets with industrial properties under construction. Only the I-78/81 Corridor, Philadelphia, Central New Jersey, and Oakland have shut down industrial construction. However, in New Jersey and Pennsylvania waivers can be granted distribution centers that will warehouse essential products.
Speculative construction projects have largely been put on hold as well, which will create a lack of first-generation space hitting the market in 2021. The lack of inventory growth could lower the overall vacancy rate back to pre-COVID levels in the latter part of 2021, assuming that business activity rebounds by the end of this year.
While construction continues, project timelines have been delayed and extended due to such challenges as completing onsite inspections, reduced construction crews due to social distancing guidelines and delays in procuring and transporting construction materials.
"Construction challenges remain in this market, but overall the pipeline is solid, showcasing the enduring demand for warehouse and distribution facilities," said James Breeze, Senior Director, Global Head of Industrial & Logistics Research for CBRE. "Leasing activity may slow down in the near term, but a third of under construction product is already leased. Because of this strong pre-leasing, we expect to see only a moderate increase in vacancy rates in the coming quarters."
According to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau, sales of newly built, single-family homes in August 2020 topped the 1 million mark and reached their highest pace since September 2006.
The Mortgage Bankers Association is reporting this week that U. S. mortgage credit availability decreased in August 2020. Mortgage credit supply fell to its lowest level since March 2014, driven by a reduction in supply from both conventional and government segments of the market.