Based on the Mortgage Bankers Association's latest Builder Application Survey for May 2019, U.S. mortgage applications for new home purchases increased 20.1 percent compared from a year ago. Compared to April 2019, applications increased by 0.1 percent. This change does not include any adjustment for typical seasonal patterns.
"Purchase activity strengthened in May, with new home mortgage applications and our estimate of new home sales both showing increases compared to a year ago, at 20 percent and 15 percent, respectively," said Joel Kan, MBA's Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting. "The average loan size for new home applications decreased almost 3 percent, signaling the ongoing moderation in home prices and a shift to building lower-priced homes. Declining mortgage rates and more new entry-level supply are good news for the housing market this summer."
MBA estimates new single-family home sales were running at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 727,000 units in May 2019, based on data from the BAS. The new home sales estimate is derived using mortgage application information from the BAS, as well as assumptions regarding market coverage and other factors.
The seasonally adjusted estimate for May is an increase of 0.7 percent from the April pace of 722,000 units. On an unadjusted basis, MBA estimates that there were 69,000 new home sales in May 2019, unchanged from April.
By product type, conventional loans composed 69.4 percent of loan applications, FHA loans composed 17.9 percent, RHS/USDA loans composed 0.7 percent and VA loans composed 12 percent. The average loan size of new homes decreased from $338,745 in April to $330,311 in May.
The Federal Reserve cut its federal funds rate today by 25 basis points (bps) to a range of 2.0% to 2.25%. This cut represents a marked change in the direction of monetary policy in the first half of 2019.
Marking the one-year anniversary of the White House executive order on workforce development this week, Greg Ugalde, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders issued the following statement
Existing-home sales in the U.S. weakened in June 2019, as total sales saw a small decline after a previous month of gains. While two of the four major U.S. regions recorded minor sales jumps, the other two - the South and the West - experienced greater declines last month.
According to Freddie Mac's latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey, after declining for most of 2019, U.S. mortgage rates remained mostly unchanged this first week of July. The recent stabilization in mortgage rates reflects modestly improving U.S. economic data.
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