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U.S. Home Sales Frozen, Hit 13-Year Low in September

U.S. Home Sales Frozen, Hit 13-Year Low in September

Residential News » Chicago Edition | By David Barley | October 20, 2023 9:41 AM ET


According to the National Association of Realtors, existing-home sales in the U.S. faded in September 2023. Among the four major U.S. regions, sales rose in the Northeast but receded in the Midwest, South and West. All four regions registered year-over-year sales declines.

Total existing-home sales - completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops - waned 2.0% from August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.96 million in September 2023. Year-over-year, sales dropped 15.4% (down from 4.68 million in September 2022).

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Lawrence Yun

"As has been the case throughout this year, limited inventory and low housing affordability continue to hamper home sales," said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. "The Federal Reserve simply cannot keep raising interest rates in light of softening inflation and weakening job gains."

Total housing inventory registered at the end of September was 1.13 million units, up 2.7% from August but down 8.1% from one year ago (1.23 million). Unsold inventory sits at a 3.4-month supply at the current sales pace, up from 3.3 months in August and 3.2 months in September 2022.

The median existing-home price for all housing types in September was $394,300, an increase of 2.8% from September 2022 ($383,500). All four U.S. regions posted price increases.

"For the third straight month, home prices are up from a year ago, confirming the pressing need for more housing supply," Yun said.

Realtor Confidence Index

According to the Realtors Confidence Index, properties typically remained on the market for 21 days in September, up from 20 days in August and 19 days in September 2022. Sixty-nine percent of homes sold in September were on the market for less than a month.

First-time buyers were responsible for 27% of sales in September, down from 29% in August 2023 and September 2022. NAR's 2022 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers - released in November 2022 - found that the annual share of first-time buyers was 26%, the lowest since NAR began tracking the data.

All-cash sales accounted for 29% of transactions in September, up from 27% in August and 22% in September 2022.

Individual investors or second-home buyers, who make up many cash sales, purchased 18% of homes in September, up from 16% in August and 15% one year ago.

Distressed sales - foreclosures and short sales - represented 1% of sales in September, unchanged from last month and the previous year.

Mortgage Rates

According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.57% as of October 12, 2023. That's up from 7.49% the previous week and 6.92% one year ago.

Single-family and Condo/Co-op Sales

Single-family home sales slipped to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.53 million in September, down 1.9% from 3.6 million in August and 15.8% from the prior year. The median existing single-family home price was $399,200 in September, up 2.5% from September 2022.

Existing condominium and co-op sales recorded a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 430,000 units in September, down 2.3% from August and 12.2% from one year ago. The median existing condo price was $353,800 in September, up 6.8% from the prior year ($331,300).

Regional Breakdown

Existing-home sales in the Northeast rose 4.2% from August to an annual rate of 500,000 in September, down 16.7% from September 2022. The median price in the Northeast was $439,900, up 5.2% from the prior year.

In the Midwest, existing-home sales declined by 4.1% from the previous month to an annual rate of 930,000 in September, down 18.4% from one year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $293,300, up 4.7% from September 2022.

Existing-home sales in the South dipped 1.1% from August to an annual rate of 1.82 million in September, a decrease of 11.7% from the previous year. The median price in the South was $360,500, up 3.1% from September 2022.

In the West, existing-home sales trailed off 5.3% from the previous month to an annual rate of 710,000 in September, down 19.3% from one year ago. The median price in the West was $606,100, up 1.8% from September 2022.

"The Northeast posted the strongest price gain resulting from higher demand coupled with inventory falling by 20%," Yun said. "The West experienced softer price growth reflecting a pause after years of unsustainable and rapid price increases, especially in the Rocky Mountain region."

Infographic-NAR September 2023 EHS.jpg


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