Based on CoreLogic's latest monthly Loan Performance Insights Report for October, 3.8% of all mortgages in the U.S. were in some stage of delinquency (30 days or more past due, including those in foreclosure), representing a 2.3-percentage point decrease compared to October 2020, when it was 6.1%.
To gain a complete view of the mortgage market and loan performance health, CoreLogic examines all stages of delinquency. In October 2021, the U.S. delinquency and transition rates, and their year-over-year changes, were as follows:
After over a year of trying conditions for borrowers, unemployment rates mark an improvement as data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that by October 2021 an estimated 82% of the jobs lost in March and April 2020 were recovered, which translates to roughly 18.2 million Americans back at work. The combination of significant job market improvement, home equity increases and federal assistance programs have helped overall delinquency rates decline to 3.8%, which is close to the October 2019 rate of 3.7%.
"Improving economic security and the benefits of disciplined underwriting practices over the past decade is helping reduce or avoid mortgage delinquencies," said Frank Martell, president and CEO of CoreLogic. "We expect to see delinquency trend down over the balance of this year as the economy continues to rebound from the pandemic, employment grows and high levels of fiscal and monetary stimulus continues."
"Economic recovery and loan modification have helped reduce the number of loans that were in serious delinquency by just over one million from the August 2021 peak," said Dr. Frank Nothaft, chief economist at CoreLogic. "Nonetheless, there were about one-half million more loans in serious delinquency in October than at the start of the pandemic in March 2020."
State and Metro Takeaways: